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HubBuyCN Spreadsheet: How to Forecast Monthly Freight Budgets

2025-11-20

Accurate freight budget forecasting is essential for businesses engaged in international shipping and logistics. The HubBuyCN Spreadsheet

Why Accurate Freight Forecasting Matters

Without a clear forecast, logistics costs can quickly spiral out of control, leading to budget overruns and financial uncertainty. The HubBuyCN methodology transforms random shipping expenses into predictable, manageable data points, enabling you to:

  • Make informed procurement and inventory decisions.
  • Identify cost-saving opportunities in your supply chain.
  • Improve financial planning and cash flow management.
  • Set realistic monthly and quarterly budgets.

The Core Principle: Weight-Cost Correlation

At the heart of the HubBuyCN forecasting model is the fundamental relationship between shipment weight and total cost. By analyzing past records, you can establish a reliable cost-per-unit-weight

How to Use the HubBuyCN Spreadsheet for Forecasting

Step 1: Gather and Input Historical Data

Start by compiling data from your last 3-6 months of shipments. Your HubBuyCN Spreadsheet should include the following columns for each shipment:

  • Date:
  • Description:
  • Weight (kg):
  • Freight Cost (USD/CNY):
  • Shipping Method:

Step 2: Calculate Your Average Cost Per Kilogram

This is the most critical metric for forecasting. Use the spreadsheet's built-in formulas to compute this.

  1. Total Historical Weight:
  2. Total Historical Cost:
  3. Average Cost per Kg:
    Average Cost/Kg = Total Historical Cost / Total Historical Weight

Pro Tip:

Step 3: Forecast Future Shipping Weight

Based on your sales forecasts, production plans, or inventory needs, estimate the total weight of goods you expect to ship in the target month. This requires close coordination with your procurement and sales teams.

Step 4: Calculate Your Forecasted Budget

Multiply your forecasted weight by your calculated average cost per kilogram.

Forecasted Freight Budget = Forecasted Total Weight (Kg) × Average Cost/Kg

The spreadsheet will automatically perform this calculation, giving you a solid, data-driven budget figure.

Step 5: Refine and Adjust

A forecast is a guide, not a fixed number. The HubBuyCN model allows for adjustments:

  • Buffer for Volatility:
  • Update Regularly:Average Cost/Kg

Example Forecast Calculation

Metric Calculation Result
Total Historical Cost (Last 6 months) - $15,000
Total Historical Weight - 2,500 kg
Average Cost per Kg $15,000 / 2,500 kg $6.00 / kg
Forecasted Weight (Next Month) - 600 kg
Base Forecasted Budget 600 kg × $6.00/kg $3,600
Budget with 10% Buffer $3,600 × 1.10 $3,960

Conclusion

The HubBuyCN Spreadsheet

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